基于FY-4A卫星的四川云宏观特征及其与降水的相关性

Cloud Macrophysical Features over Sichuan Province and Their Correlation with Precipitation Based on FY-4A Satellite Data

  • 摘要: 为了进一步完善四川地区人工增雨作业指标,量化云宏观特征及其与降水的关系,本文基于2019—2021年风云四号静止卫星FY-4A的高时空分辨率云宏观产品和地面逐小时降水数据,建立基于云顶温度(Cloud Top Temperature,CTT)和云顶高度(Cloud Top Height,CTH)的降水云识别指标,分析了四川地区云宏观特征参量及其与降水的关系。结果表明:(1)盆地西北部、盆地其他区域、川西高原和攀西地区,云覆盖率(Cloud Fraction Rate,CFR)、CTT和CTH在不同季节和不同降水强度下呈现显著差异。(2)CFR在夏季达到最高而冬季最低,呈现从西部向东部逐渐增多的趋势,CTH自川西高原西北向盆地东南部递减,而CTT则逐渐递增。(3)当CTT低于−10 ℃时,降水即开始;在川西高原,CTH高于9000 m即可触发降水;而在盆地西北部(如成都、绵阳、德阳),CTH大于7500 m即可触发降水,其他区域的阈值不明显。(4)不同降水等级下,CTT自西北向东南随降水强度的增加而逐渐升高,CTH则呈现相反的变化趋势。(5)CTT和CTH均在除成都、德阳、绵阳外的盆地其他区域和攀西地区分布较为集中,二者在冬季的分布区间尤其狭窄,提高了降水云识别的确定性,但CTH值在夏季呈现出较大波动,增加了识别的不确定性。

     

    Abstract: To further improve the indicators for artificial precipitation enhancement operations in Sichuan Province and quantify the correlation between cloud macrophysical characteristics and precipitation, this study established precipitation cloud identification indices based on cloud top temperature (CTT) and cloud top height (CTH), using high spatiotemporal resolution cloud macrophysical product data from the Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) geostationary satellite and hourly surface precipitation data from 2019 to 2021. This study analyzed the cloud macrophysical parameters and their correlation with precipitation in Sichuan Province. The research results show that: (1) In the northwest of the basin, other areas of the basin, the Western Sichuan Plateau and the Panxi region, cloud fraction rate (CFR), CTT and CTH exhibit significant discrepancies across different seasons and precipitation intensities. (2) CFR reaches its maximum in summer and minimum in winter, showing a gradually increasing trend from west to east. CTH decreases gradually from the northwest of the Western Sichuan Plateau to the southeast of the basin, while CTT increases progressively. (3) Surface precipitation tends to occur when CTT drops below −10 ℃. In the Western Sichuan Plateau, precipitation is triggered when CTH exceeds 9000 m. In the northwest of the basin (e.g., Chengdu, Mianyang, and Deyang), precipitation is triggered when CTH exceeds 7500 m. However, no obvious threshold values are found in other regions. (4) Under different precipitation intensities, CTT increases from northwest to southeast with intensified precipitation, while CTH shows the opposite spatial trend. (5) In other areas of the basin (excluding Chengdu, Deyang and Mianyang) and the Panxi region, both CTT and CTH show relatively concentrated distributions. Their distribution ranges are particularly narrow in winter, enhancing the reliability of precipitation cloud identification. However, CTH values exhibit greater fluctuations in summer, increasing the uncertainty of precipitation cloud identification.

     

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