不同再分析地表温度在青藏高原的适用性分析

Applicability of Different Reanalysis Surface Temperature Products over the Tibetan Plateau

  • 摘要: 地表温度作为反映陆面过程的重要参数之一,通过影响土壤自身热力性质和水分交换,导致局部大气环流的改变及区域性短期气候异常。为了探讨不同再分析地表温度在青藏高原的适用性,本文综合比较了1980—2019年站点观测地表温度与CRA40、ERA5两种再分析资料的偏差分布特征。结果表明:(1)CRA40、ERA5再分析资料均能反映出地表温度由高原东南部向西北逐渐递减的分布特征,以及地表温度的年际变化趋势和突变规律,但对观测值的模拟也表现出一定的年际和年代际差异;(2)CRA40、ERA5地表温度与观测数据存在不同程度的冷偏差且具有显著的区域性和季节变化特征,即地表温度偏差较大的区域主要分布在高原东南部和南部边缘地区且1月偏差大于7月;(3)CRA40、ERA5再分析资料与观测数据呈显著正相关,CRA40再分析资料的表现整体优于ERA5,更适用于青藏高原气候变化研究,但需要考虑季节和区域性差异。

     

    Abstract: Surface temperature, as a critical parameter in land surface processes, can alter local atmospheric circulation and cause regional short-term climate anomalies by influencing soil thermal properties and moisture exchange. To evaluate the applicability of different surface temperature reanalysis products over the Tibetan Plateau, this study systematically compares the bias characteristics of surface temperature between in-situ observations and two reanalysis datasets (CRA40 and ERA5) from 1980 to 2019. The results indicate that: (1) Both CRA40 and ERA5 reanalysis datasets can reflect the distribution of surface temperature, which gradually decreases from the southeast to the northwest, as well as its interannual variation trend and abrupt changes. However, certain interannual and interdecadal discrepancies exist in the simulation of observed values in the reanalysis data. (2) Surface temperature derived from CRA40 and ERA5 generally presents cold biases with pronounced regional and seasonal heterogeneities. Specifically, larger biases are mainly located in the southeastern and southern marginal areas of the plateau, and the magnitude of cold biases are larger in January than in July. (3) Both CRA40 and ERA5 reanalysis datasets are significantly positively correlated with the observations. Overall, CRA40 performs better than ERA5 and is more suitable for climate change research over the Tibetan Plateau, whereas relevant seasonal and regional discrepancies should be fully considered in future studies.

     

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