基于数值模拟的青海湖湖泊气候效应研究

Numerical Simulation of the Climatic Effects of Qinghai Lake

  • 摘要: 青藏高原湖泊众多,受水陆热力性质差异影响,湖泊对局地气候有显著调节作用,由于缺乏长序列观测资料,目前对高原湖泊热力状况的研究依然以短期为主。本文基于WRF-Lake模式,评估了Noah和Noah-mp两种不同陆面过程参数化方案在青海湖及其周边地区的适用性,并设计有湖和无湖两组敏感性试验进行对比,模拟研究了近30 a青海湖的局地气候效应。结果表明:(1)WRF-Lake模式能够很好地模拟出青海湖及其周边地区的气候状况。(2)两种陆面过程参数化方案模拟的2 m气温均偏低,Noah陆面过程参数化方案的模拟结果与观测数据更为接近。(3)近30 a来,春、秋季无论是月内变化还是日内变化,青海湖均表现为暖湖效应,距离湖泊越远,区域升温速率越快,气候态均值也越高,反之亦然;夏季,青海湖则主要表现为冷湖效应,仅在午夜出现短暂的暖湖效应。

     

    Abstract: The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, a region with numerous lakes, is affected by the thermal differences between land and water, so lakes exert a significant modulating effect on the local climate. However, due to the lack of long-term observational data, current research on the thermal conditions of plateau lakes is mostly confined to short-term case analyses. Based on the WRF-Lake model, this study evaluated the applicability of two land surface parameterization schemes, Noah and Noah-MP, over Qinghai Lake and its surrounding areas. Two sets of sensitivity experiments (lake-covered vs. lake-free) were conducted to quantify the lake-induced climatic impacts of Qinghai Lake over the past three decades. The results show that: (1) The WRF-Lake model can well simulate the climate conditions of Qinghai Lake and its surrounding areas. (2) The simulation results of both land surface parameterization schemes underestimate 2 m air temperature, while the Noah scheme yields simulations that better match observational records. (3) Over the past 30 years, Qinghai Lake has exhibited a warm lake effect in spring and autumn on both intramonthly and diurnal timescales. The warming rate and climatic mean values increase with the distance from the lake, and vice versa. In summer, however, Qinghai Lake primarily exhibits a cold lake effect, with only transient warm lake effects occurring at midnight.

     

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