青藏高原蒸散发研究进展

Progress in Evapotranspiration Research on the Tibetan Plateau

  • 摘要: 在青藏高原这一“亚洲水塔”和气候变化敏感区,蒸散发(Evapotranspiration,ET)作为地表与大气间水分和能量交换的关键过程,深刻影响着流域水平衡与区域气候格局。受限于高原复杂的地形与极端的环境, ET的准确量化及其气候响应仍存在显著不确定性。本文系统回顾了过去三十年来青藏高原ET的研究历程,梳理了“地基观测-遥感反演-陆面模拟”多源估算体系的发展,综合分析了ET的时空演变特征及其驱动因子,并总结了其对区域气候的反馈效应。主要结论如下:(1)在估算方法上,单一观测手段难以满足青藏高原非均匀下垫面的研究需求,多源数据融合是降低估算不确定性、获取全高原高时空分辨率连续ET产品的核心途径;(2)在量级特征上,青藏高原多年平均ET约在300~400 mm·yr−1之间,并在全球变暖背景下呈显著增加趋势,速率约8.4 mm·(10 a)−1,增幅约为全球陆地平均水平的两倍。(3)在反馈效应方面,ET增强通过“蒸发冷却”机制一定程度抑制了地表升温,并通过提升降水再循环率强化区域内水分循环。最后,指出了当前在多圈层立体观测、高寒过程模拟以及ET对气候系统反馈机制的定量解耦等方面的不足,并对未来的研究进行了展望。

     

    Abstract: On the Tibetan Plateau, known as the "Asian Water Tower" and a climate-sensitive region, evapotranspiration (ET) is a key process of water and energy exchange between the land surface and the atmosphere, profoundly influencing basin water balance and regional climate patterns. Due to the complex topography and highly heterogeneous underlying surfaces of the plateau, accurate quantification of ET and its responses to climate change remain subject to significant uncertainties. This paper systematically reviews the research progress on ET over the Tibetan Plateau during the past three decades, summarizes the development of a multi-source estimation system integrating "ground-based observations, remote sensing retrievals, and land surface modeling," comprehensively analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of ET and its dominant driving factors, and synthesizes its feedback effects on the regional climate system. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) Methodologically, the integration of multi-source data is essential to overcome the limitations of single approaches and to generate reliable, high-resolution ET products. (2) In magnitude, the multi-year average ET of 300~400 mm·yr−1 has increased significantly at a rate of approximately 8.4 mm·(10 a)−1, roughly double the global land average under global warming. (3) For climate feedbacks, the increased ET exerts a cooling effect on the land surface and enhances regional moisture recycling. Finally, the paper identifies current limitations in multi-layer stereoscopic observation, simulation of cryospheric-hydrological processes, and quantitative decoupling of ET-climate feedback mechanisms, and provides an outlook for future research directions.

     

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