高纬度季节性冻土区土壤冻融特征变化及其归因分析

Characteristics and Attribution Analysis of Soil Freeze-Thaw Dynamics in High-Latitude Seasonally Frozen Ground Regions

  • 摘要: 基于1951—2020年三江平原气象站的观测数据,使用线性分析法和相关系数法,探究该地区土壤冻融特征的时空变化规律及其与气象要素的关联性。结果表明:(1)时间上,三江平原地区最大冻结深度呈现递减趋势,其速率为−0.8376 cm/a;土壤冻结时间整体上呈现延后趋势,而融化时间呈现提前趋势,共同导致了冻融周期的缩短。(2)空间上,最大冻结深度以宝清站为中心向周边递减;初始冻结和融化时序从东向西逐渐提前,稳定冻结由西北向东南延后、稳定融化由西北向东南提前、冻融周期由西北向东南逐渐缩短。(3)土壤冻结与融化过程在时段上存在短暂交叠;土壤冻结过程对负积温变化的响应最为显著,相关系数为−0.86;土壤融化深度与日平均气温、正积温及日最高气温的相关系数分别为0.77、0.88和0.72,表明土壤融化深度对气温变化具有多维度响应,其中与正积温的相关性最为显著。

     

    Abstract: Based on the observation data from meteorological stations in Sanjiang Plain from 1951 to 2020, linear trend analysis and correlation analysis were used to explore the temporal and spatial variation of soil freeze-thaw characteristics in the area and their correlation with meteorological factors. The results show that: (1) Temporally, the maximum freeze depth in the Sanjiang Plain shows a decreasing trend at a rate of −0.8376 cm/a. The soil freezing time shows an overall delayed trend, while the thawing time shows an advancing trend, jointly leading to a shortening of the freeze-thaw cycle. (2) Spatially, the maximum freeze depth decreases radially outward from the Baoqing station. The initial freezing and thawing timing advances from east to west, stable freezing is delayed from northwest to southeast, while stable thawing advances from northwest to southeast, and the freeze-thaw cycle progressively shortens from northwest to southeast. (3) The process of soil freezing and thawing has a short overlap in some specific periods. The freezing process responds most significantly to changes in negative accumulated temperature, with a correlation coefficient of −0.86. The correlation coefficients of soil thawing depth with daily average temperature, positive accumulated temperature and daily maximum temperature were 0.77, 0.88 and 0.72, respectively, indicating a multi-dimensional response of thawing depth to temperature variations, with the strongest correlation observed for positive accumulated temperature.

     

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