青藏高原中东部夏季降水水汽来源及其对高原夏季风的响应

Water Vapor Sources of Summer Precipitation in Mid-Eastern Tibetan Plateau and Its Response to the Plateau Summer Monsoon

  • 摘要: 青藏高原因其高大的地形和强烈的热力作用对亚洲大气环流系统具有重要影响,在水汽来源和分配及能量传输中起到关键的作用。本文基于动态降水再循环模型(Dynamic Precipitation Recycling Model,DRM)开展水汽路径追踪,识别青藏高原夏季主要水汽源区并定量计算源地贡献率,结合高原季风强、弱年对比,揭示水汽输送路径的动力控制机制与异常响应特征。结果表明:(1)高原夏季风期间,水汽输送轨迹可分为西北轨迹群(欧亚大陆远距离输送,高原北部进入)、西风轨迹群(中纬度水汽,高原西部进入)和季风轨迹群(包括印度洋远程、阿拉伯海短程、中国内陆短程三类通道)。(2)西部源区水汽来源贡献率最高,达到34.64%;其次是本地再循环源区和西南源区,贡献率分别为23.08%和20.25%;东部源区贡献率最低,仅有1.69%。(3)在高原夏季风偏强时,高原中东部降水显著增加,以海洋远程输送(印度洋、南海通道)主导;在高原夏季风偏弱时,以欧亚大陆西北路径主导。基于本文研究,明确了高原夏季风在区域水汽传输过程中的影响,为深入理解青藏高原在亚洲水循环中的作用、改善高原及下游地区水资源预测能力提供了理论基础与参考依据。

     

    Abstract: Due to its tall terrain and strong thermal forcing, the Tibetan Plateau significantly influences on the Asian atmospheric circulation system and plays a crucial role in the source and distribution of water vapor as well as the energy transfer. This study employs the Dynamic Precipitation Recycling Model (DRM) to track water vapor pathways, identify the main water vapor source areas for the Tibetan Plateau during summer, and quantitatively calculate the contribution rate of each source. By comparing strong and weak plateau summer monsoon years, the dynamic control mechanisms and anomalous response characteristics of water vapor transport pathways are revealed. The results show that: (1) During plateau summer monsoon, water vapor transport trajectories are classified into three groups: the northwestern trajectory group (long-distance transport over Eurasia, entering from the north), the westerly trajectory group (mid-latitude water vapor, entering from the west), and the monsoon trajectory group (including three pathways: long-distance from the Indian Ocean, short-distance from the Arabian Sea, and short-distance from inland China). (2) The western source area was the largest contributor to precipitation (34.64%), followed by the local recycling source (23.08%) and the southwestern source (20.25%). The eastern source area contributed the least (1.69%). (3) During strong plateau summer monsoon years, precipitation in the central and eastern plateau increases significantly, primarily driven by long-distance transport from the ocean (Indian Ocean and South China Sea pathways). In contrast, during weak plateau summer monsoon years, the dominant moisture transport is via the northwestern path from the Eurasian continent. This study clarifies the influence of plateau summer monsoon on regional water vapor transport processes, and provides a theoretical and reference basis for a deeper understanding of the role of Tibetan Plateau in Asian water cycle and for improving water resource prediction in the Tibetan Plateau and its downstream areas.

     

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