川东北地区2000—2020年植被覆盖度时空变化和人类影响分析

Spatiotemporal Variation of Vegetation Coverage and Its Human Impact in Northeastern Sichuan from 2000 to 2020

  • 摘要: 基于MODIS-MOD13A3的归一化植被指数数据和ERA5再分析气温、降水数据,研究了2000—2020年四川东北部地区植被覆盖度的时空变化特征及人类活动的影响。结果表明:(1)2000—2020年川东北地区植被覆盖度呈显著上升趋势,空间分布呈现东北高、西南低的格局;(2)植被覆盖度变化以无变化和微显著上升为主,城市化地区出现下降;(3)人类活动总体促进植被恢复,但城市扩张导致局部退化;(4)大巴山区域植被稳定,川东北部分地区略有波动,而城市化地区植被波动明显;(5)未来广安、达州南部和南充东部植被有望持续改善,巴中、达州北部可能面临退化风险。

     

    Abstract: Based on MODIS MOD13A3 Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data and ERA5 reanalyzed temperature and precipitation data, the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) and the impact of human activities in the northeastern Sichuan region from 2000 to 2020 were investigated. The results show that: (1) The FVC in northeastern Sichuan exhibited a significant increasing trend from 2000 to 2020, with a spatial pattern of high in the northeast and low in the southwest. (2) The changes in FVC were mainly characterized by no change and micro-significant increase, with a decrease in urbanized areas. (3) Human activities generally promoted vegetation restoration, but urban expansion caused local degradation. (4) Vegetation in the Daba Mountain region was stable, with slight fluctuations in some areas of northeastern Sichuan, while vegetation in urbanized areas fluctuated significantly. (5) In the future, vegetation in Guang'an, southern Dazhou, and eastern Nanchong is expected to continue improving, whereas areas such as Bazhong and northern Dazhou may face degradation risks.

     

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