川藏铁路理塘段的气象风险和特征分析

Analysis of Meteorological Risks and Characteristics of the Litang Section of the Sichuan-Tibet Railway

  • 摘要: 利用2022—2024年理塘县国家气象观测站和川藏铁路沿线区域观测站的历史气象数据、2021—2014年DDW1型闪电定位仪数据、三维雷电监测预警系统资料以及GIS地理信息系统,分析了该路段大风、降水(暴雨)、雷电等灾害性天气的时空分布特征,构建了融合多灾种影响的“综合气象风险归一化指数”评估体系。结果表明:各路段的气象风险标准可分为低、中、高三级,重点防范的主导风险因子是大风、暴雨、雷电;呷洼乡(八标段)暴雨和雷电灾害风险等级为高等,大风灾害风险等级为中等;理塘县城(九标段)大风、暴雨和雷电灾害风险等级为中等到较高;禾尼乡(十标段)大风灾害风险等级为高等,暴雨和雷电灾害风险等级为中等。

     

    Abstract: Based on historical meteorological data from Litang County National Meteorological Observatory and regional observation stations along the Sichuan-Tibet Railway (2022—2024), DDW1 lightning locator data (2021—2014), three-dimensional lightning monitoring and early warning system data and the GIS geographic information system, the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of hazardous weather events such as strong winds, heavy rainfall (rainstorms) and lightning in the section are analyzed, a "Comprehensive Meteorological Risk Normalization Index" evaluation system integrating the impacts of multiple hazards was constructed. The results indicate that meteorological risk standards for each road section can be classified into three levels: low, medium, and high. The dominant risk factors requiring key prevention are strong winds, rainstorms, and lightning. In the Jiawa Township (Section 8), the risk levels of rainstorms and lightning disasters are high, while the risk level of strong wind disasters is medium. In the Litang County town area (Section 9), the risk levels of strong winds, rainstorms, and lightning disasters range from medium to relatively high. In the Heni Township (Section 10), the risk level of strong wind disasters is high, while the risk levels of rainstorms and lightning disasters are medium.

     

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