弱天气形势下雅安市一次暖区暴雨天气过程分析

Analysis of a Warm-sector Rainstorm Event under a Weak Weather Background in Ya’an

  • 摘要: 利用多源观测资料、雷达资料以及FNL(1°×1°)、ERA5(0.25°×0.25°)再分析数据,对2024年9月15—16日雅安出现的一次暖区暴雨天气过程进行分析。结果表明:500 hPa为东高西低的环流形势,台风西侧外围气流分流出的一支偏东风沿着副高南侧进入盆地后转为偏南风,并在夜间增强,为暴雨区提供充足的水汽供应;在高能高湿不稳定层结下,较低的抬升凝结高度和自由对流高度导致弱动力抬升条件激发对流,较厚的暖云层有利于提升降水效率;低层风场扰动并配合地形增幅作用激发初始对流,对流单体不断组织化发展,从而引发暴雨。

     

    Abstract: Using conventional observation data, radar data, FNL (1°×1°) and ERA5 (0.25°×0.25°) reanalysis data, the warm-sector rainstorm process in Ya 'an from 15 to 16 September 2024 was analyzed. The results show that the circulation pattern at 500 hPa was high in the east and low in the west. Easterly wind, diverted from the outer flow on the west side of the typhoon, entered the basin along the south side of subtropical high and turned to southerly wind, which intensified overnight, providing sufficient moisture to the heavy rainfall area. Under a conditionally unstable stratification characterized by high energy and humidity, the low lifting condensation level and level of free convection allowed convection to be triggered by weak dynamic lifting. A thick warm cloud layer contributed to high precipitation efficiency. The initial convection was ignited by low-level wind field disturbances combined with topographic lifting. The subsequent organization and development of convective cells ultimately led to the heavy rainfall event.

     

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