李智玉, 谭健, 杜小玲, 石艳, 朱育雷, 魏涛. 贵州省近50年降雪时空变化特征分析[J]. 高原山地气象研究, 2023, 43(4): 65-75. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-2184.2023.04.009
引用本文: 李智玉, 谭健, 杜小玲, 石艳, 朱育雷, 魏涛. 贵州省近50年降雪时空变化特征分析[J]. 高原山地气象研究, 2023, 43(4): 65-75. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-2184.2023.04.009
LI Zhiyu, TAN Jian, DU Xiaoling, SHI Yan, ZHU Yulei, WEI Tao. Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Variation Features of Snowfall in Guizhou Province for the Last 50 Years[J]. Plateau and Mountain Meteorology Research, 2023, 43(4): 65-75. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-2184.2023.04.009
Citation: LI Zhiyu, TAN Jian, DU Xiaoling, SHI Yan, ZHU Yulei, WEI Tao. Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Variation Features of Snowfall in Guizhou Province for the Last 50 Years[J]. Plateau and Mountain Meteorology Research, 2023, 43(4): 65-75. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-2184.2023.04.009

贵州省近50年降雪时空变化特征分析

Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Variation Features of Snowfall in Guizhou Province for the Last 50 Years

  • 摘要: 选取1971—2020年贵州省84个国家气象站逐日观测资料,在分析贵州省降雪时空变化特征的基础上,利用旋转经验正交分解函数(Rotated Empirical Orthogonal Function,REOF)进行气候分区,并初步探究了降雪与地形的关系。结果表明:(1)贵州省降雪主要出现在冬季,其中1月降雪频数最大,占比为49.5%,2月次之,占比为27.9%;降雪日数分布在沿中部的东西向一线偏多,在北部赤水市和南部边缘地带偏少;最大积雪深度分布同样在中东部偏大,而西部偏小。(2)近50 a贵州省降雪日数、最大积雪深度以及降雪量均表现出减少趋势;降雪日数减少趋势显著,速率为−0.72 d/10 a,中北部地区尤为明显,这可能与最低气温的显著上升有关;最大积雪深度减少趋势不显著,速率仅为−0.13 cm/10 a;降雪量减少趋势较显著,速率为−1.07 mm/10 a。降雪日数在2008年左右发生了由多转少的显著突变,通过了95%的显著性检验;最大积雪深度和降雪量虽然分别在2013年左右和2008年左右存在同样的突变特征,但均未通过显著性检验。(3)REOF方法可将贵州省分为三个积雪气候区。I区位于贵州中部东西向一线,为降雪频发且降雪量大、积雪较深以及地势较高地区;II区位于贵州南部,为降雪与积雪较少且海拔较低区域;III区为贵州北部,该区域降雪日数、积雪深度以及海拔高度均介于I区与II区之间,而降雪量最少。(4)地形对贵州降雪有着重要影响,其中降雪日数和最大积雪深度均随海拔升高而增加,但降雪量与地形高度几乎没有线性关系。贵州北部降雪发生和积雪厚度均与站点高度关系密切,而中部一线及以南地区则与地形高度关系并不明显。

     

    Abstract: Based on the daily observation data of 84 national meteorological stations in Guizhou Province from 1971 to 2020, the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of snowfall in Guizhou Province were analyzed, and the climatic zoning was carried out by using the Rotated Empirical Orthogonal Function ( REOF ), and the relationship between snowfall and topography was preliminarily explored. The results show that: (1) The snowfall in Guizhou Province mainly occurs in winter. The frequency of snowfall in January is the largest, accounting for 49.5 %, followed by February, accounting for 27.9 %. The number of snowfall days is more along the east-west line in the middle, and less in the northern Chishui area and the southern edge. The distribution of maximum snow depth is also larger in the central and eastern regions, while smaller in the western region. (2) The number of snowfall days, maximum snow depth and snowfall in Guizhou Province showed a decreasing trend in recent 50 years. The decreasing trend of snowfall days was significant, with a rate of −0.72 d/10 a, especially in the central and northern regions, which may be related to the significant increase of minimum temperature. The decreasing trend of the maximum snow depth is not significant, and the rate is only −0.13 cm/10 a. The decreasing trend of snowfall is significant, with a rate of −1.07 mm/10 a. The number of snowfall days had a significant mutation from more to less around 2008, and passed the 95 % significance test. Although the maximum snow depth and snowfall had the same mutation characteristics around 2013 and 2008, respectively, they did not pass the significance test. (3) Guizhou Province can be divided into three snow climate zones with REOF method. Region I is located in the east-west line of central Guizhou, which is an area with frequent snowfall, large snowfall, deep snow cover and high terrain. Region II is located in the south of Guizhou, which is a low altitude area with less snow and snow. Region III is the northern part of Guizhou. The number of snowfall days, snow depth and altitude in this area are between Region I and Region II, and the amount of snowfall is the least. (4) Topography has an important influence on snowfall in Guizhou. The number of snowfall days and the maximum snow depth increase with the increase of altitude, but there is almost no linear relationship between snowfall and terrain height. For the northern region, the occurrence of snowfall and the thickness of snow in northern Guizhou are highly tightened to the site height, while the relationship between the central line and the height of the terrain is not obvious.

     

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