Abstract: Using the 24-hour cumulative rainfall of 218 automatic meteorological observatories in Bazhong from June to August of 2016, based on objective statistical methods, the prediction ability of the precipitation in Bazhong in 2016 of SWCWARMS model and EC model were evaluated and compared. The results show that: (1) Both of the SWCWARMS and EC model have good prediction ability for the rain band movement; (2) The TS score of SWCWARMS model has better performance than that of the EC model in all scales; (3) The EC model has larger omission rate in moderate to heavy rain forecast, while the SWCWARMS model has higher empty rate in heavy rain forecast; (4) The TS score of SWCWARMS model has better forecast ability than EC model in June and July. The SWCWARMS model is superior than EC model in the prediction of Bazhong area.