雷击对地铁运营造成的经济损失评价研究——以成都地铁为例

Research on Evaluation of Financial Loss Caused by Lightning Stroke on Metro Line——A Case Study of Chengdu Metro

  • 摘要: 本文根据国内收集的地铁运营事故类型统计并结合近年来国内地铁雷灾事故案例,分析发现:雷击是引发地铁不同类型运营事故的重要原因之一。在分析雷击地铁线路造成的经济损失时,笔者将时间成本对应的个体劳动力价值体现作为评估依据,通过建立雷击地铁造成乘客延误总时间与乘客流量、列车运行参数以及恢复通车时间等参量的数值关系,利用成都地铁1号线运营数据对地铁遭受雷击的经济损失进行了评价。结果显示,在地铁运营的平峰时段因雷击停运30分钟将造成8.97万元的经济损失,在高峰时段因雷击停运60分钟将造成85.64万元的经济损失。

     

    Abstract: According to the statistics of types of domestic metro accidents,combined with domestic lightning disaster cases in recent years,this essay analyses that:lightning stroke is one of the important reasons that resulting in different types of metro operation accidents.When the authors analyzed the financial loss of metro line accidents caused by lightning stroke,they acted individual labor embodied value corresponding to time cost as evaluation gauge,built up magnitude relations of several parameters such as passenger flow,average load factor,capacity reduction factor,the number of train operation,and restoration of traffic time resulted from passengers entering metro station in total delaying time and unit time cased by lightning stroke towards metro line.At the same time,they made used of the operation statistics of Chengdu metro Line 1 to evaluate the financial loss of metro line stoke by lightning.The result suggested that,in metro operation flat period,30 minutes of train outage caused by lightning stroke will resulted in financial loss of 89.7 thousands Yuan,while in metro operation peak period,60 minutes of train outage caused by lightning stroke will resulted in financial loss of 0.8564 million Yuan.

     

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