东亚冬季风月内活动的主要时间尺度及其振荡特征

Main Submonthly Timescales of the East Asian Winter Monsoon and Its Oscillation Characteristics

  • 摘要: 利用1979~2012年NCEP/NCAR R2逐日再分析资料和西南地区气象台站观测资料,通过小波分析、带通滤波、合成分析和相关分析等多种统计分析方法,对东亚冬季风月内活动的主要时间尺度及其振荡特征进行了研究。结果表明:东亚冬季风具有明显的月内周期性活动特征,其月内活动时间尺度主要以准1周、准2周和准3周左右的时间周期为主,其中准2周比准1周和准3周略强。月内尺度、准1周、准2周时间尺度内的东亚冬季风指数的强盛期和西南地区冬季低温期有很好的对应关系,其月内尺度、准1周、准2周时间尺度内的振荡特征可以很好指示出同期西南地区较强的低温过程。

     

    Abstract: Using NCEP/NCAR R2 reanalysis daily data and the daily meteorological observational data in Southwest China from 1979 to 2012,the main submonthly timescales of the East Asian winter monsoon and its oscillation characteristics are studied by the wavelet transformation,bandpass filtering,composite analysis and correlation analysis in this paper.The main conclusions are:The East Asian winter monsoon has quasi-week period,quasi-two-week period and quasi-three week period variability,the intensity of quasi-two-week period is slightly stronger than quasi-week period and quasithree week period variability.There exist obviously negative correlation between the East Asian winter monsoon and the winter temperature in Southwest China on submonthly,quasi-one-week and quasi-two-week time scales.The oscillation characteristics of East Asian winter monsoon on submonthly,quasi-one-week and quasi-two-week time scales is important to the medium and long range prediction of low-temperature process in Southwest China.

     

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