巴中短时强降水特征分析及预报方法研究

Analysis of Short-time Strong Rainfall Characteristics in Bazhong and Forecast Method Study

  • 摘要: 利用2010~2014年巴中区域自动站资料、高空实况资料、地面实况资料以及雷达资料,分析了巴中短时强降水(小时雨量≥20mm)的年际、月际、主要发生时间段和落区、强度特征以及短时强降水和海拔高度关系。研究并总结了巴中发生短时强降水的影响系统、概念模型、物理量预警指标、雷达预警指标,为今后预警巴中短时强降水提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Using the regional automatic station data,altitude observations,surface observations and radar data from 2010 to 2014 to analyzes the annual,international,mainly time and drop zone,strength characteristics and short- term strong relationship between precipitation and altitude of the short-time strong rainfall(1 hour rainfall≥20mm) in Bazhong.The short- time strong rainfall system,the conceptual model,the influence of the physical quantities early warning index,radar warning index have been researched and Summarized in the paper,reference has been provided for warning short- time strong rainfall in bazhong.

     

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