“15·8”川东西南涡暴雨的Q矢量分析

Q-Vector Analysis of the Southwest Vortex Rainstorm in“15.8”in Southeast Sichuan

  • 摘要: 利用NCEP 1°×1°再分析资料和常规地面观测资料,应用非地转湿Q矢量(Q*)的理论,对2015年8月16~18日一次川东地区持续性暴雨进行了分析。500hPa高空槽、700hPa西南低涡(SWV)和850hPa低空急流为造成此次持续性暴雨的主要系统。结果表明:(1) Q*散度的辐合区与未来6小时雨带相对应,能较好地诊断未来6小时雨带的分布,西南涡中心位于辐合区西偏南侧,强降水中心位于辐合区中心南部;(2)西南涡中心和未来6小时雨带分别位于Q*正涡度区东南侧和西侧,但Q*涡度诊断能力不如Q*散度;(3)在西南涡发展阶段,大尺度强迫占主导地位,在西南涡成熟阶段则是中小尺度强迫占主导地位;(4) Q*散度垂直分布能较好地反映出西南涡的垂直结构,西南涡位于Q*矢量散度辐合垂直带的西南侧。

     

    Abstract: Based on the conventional surface observation data and the NCEP reanalysis data,a rainstorm process on August 16~18,2015 in the east Sichuan Province was analyzed by using the ageostrophic wet Q vector(Q*) .500hPa upper trough,700hPa Southwest Vortex(SWV) and 850hPa low-level jet were the main systems causing this persistent rainstorm.The results show as follows:(1) The convergence area of Q*divergence which can better diagnose the area of future rain-band,is coincided with the rain-band after 6 hours,SWV and the rainstorm center locate west by south and south of the convergence area.(2) SWV and the rain-band after 6 hours locate in the southeast and west of the positive vorticity area of Q*,but the diagnosibility of Q*vorticity is not as good as Q*divergence.(3) The large- scale forcing is the predominant factor during the developing stage of the SWV,however,the meso-and micor-scale forcing is dominant during the intensifying stage of the SWV.(4) The vertical distribution of Q*divergence can reflects SWV's vertical distribution that SWV locates in the southwest of it.

     

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