基于GIS空间分析模型的冻土研究——以祁连山木里地区为例
Study on Permafrost Based on GIS Spatial Analysis Model—Taking Muli area of Qilian Mountains as an Example
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摘要: 2008年祁连山木里冻土区发现天然气水合物,冻土作为天然气水合物重要的形成条件,控制着陆域水合物的成藏。本文根据祁连山多年冻土参数经验公式,通过在ArcGIS中对由木里地区DEM空间分析,建立多年冻土参数计算模型,得到木里年均气温、年均地温和多年冻土厚度空间分布特征。木里地区年均气温-8~-5℃,年均地温-5~-2℃,冻土厚度80~180m;聚呼更矿区年均气温-7~-5℃,年均地温-4~-2℃,多年冻土厚度90~120m;大通山地区,年均气温低于-7℃,年均地温低于-4℃,冻土厚度大于130m。结合研究区烃源岩分布资料,认为木里盆地与大通山接壤的盆-山地貌过渡地带为天然气水合物最有可能成藏的区域。Abstract: In 2008,the gas hydrate was discovered in the Qilian Muli permafrost region.As an important gas hydrate formation condition,permafrost has an obvious control effect on hydrate reservoir.Based on those permafrost parameters empirical formulas of the Qilian Mountains,the distribution characteristics of mean annual temperature,mean annual ground temperature and the thickness of permafrost in Muli are obtained by ArcGIS spatial analysis model for DEM.The results show the average annual temperature and annual mean ground temperature of the permafrost in Muli are in the range of-8~-5℃and-5~-2℃ correspondingly,and that the thickness of permafrost varies from 80 to 180 meters.As to the Juhugeng mining area,its average annual temperature and annual mean ground temperature are between-7 to-5℃ and-4 to-2℃,and the permafrost thickness is within the scope of 90~120m.The area around Datong Mountain has the lowest temperature and the thickest permafrost.Its average annual temperature and ground temperature are lower than-7℃ and-4℃ respectively,and permafrost thicker than 130m.Combined with the distribution of hydrocarbon source rock,we believe that the physiognomy transition zone between Muli basin and Datong Mountain is the most favorable area for the gas hydrate reservoir.