基于探空资料的拉萨短期降水预报特征分析

Study of Short-term Precipitation Forecasts Indexes of Lhasa Based on Sounding Data

  • 摘要: 利用近11年拉萨探空和地面降水资料,挑选811次符合条件的分析对象,对不同相态不同强度不同时次的降水和所对应的探空特征进行了对比分析。夏季拉萨早晨大气水汽含量高于晚上,夜间大气不稳定能量高于凌晨。出现降雨前早晚大气一致有增温增湿现象,一般夜雨表现为高低层干热中间湿冷结构,强夜雨为高低层湿热中间干冷。冬季早晚大气温湿差异小于夏季,有降雪时大气层结曲线和露点曲线呈近“漏斗”状,即大气属于上干下湿状态。考虑到无降水大气状况和有降水大气更好区别,本文也统计出5103次无降水个例,给出了无降水的大气特征。

     

    Abstract: Using sounding data and surface precipitation data of Lhasa station from 2000 to 2010,the 811 times analysis objects are selected,and the sounding figure,sounding parameters and sounding physical quantities in different phases,different states and different intensity of precipitation are studied.The main conclusions are:The atmospheric water vapor content in the morning is higher than in the night in Lhasa,while the atmosphere unstable energy in the night is higher than in the morning.The atmosphere is more warm and humid before the rain shower either in the morning or in the night.Ggenerally,the rain in the night has the hot and dry performance in the high and low levels while the humid and cold performance in the middle level.But the heavy rain in the night has the humid and hot performance in the high and low levels and the dry and cold performance in the middle level.The difference of atmospheric temperature and humidity between the morning and the night in winter is less than in summer.When it snows,the atmospheric stratification curve and dew point curve shows"funnel"shape,which means the air state is wet up and dry down.At the same time this paper gives a different intensity in different seasons meteoric synthetic average T-LnP diagram and convection temperature,dry and warm cap index,specific humidity integral whole layer of crude Richard.Taking into account the atmospheric conditions when no precipitation occurs,this paper also statistics 5103 times without precipitation,gives atmospheric characteristics when no precipitation.

     

/

返回文章
返回