川渝地区雨季降水特征及海温背景场分析

Analysis between the Air-sea Background Field and the Characteristics of Precipitation on Rainy Season in Sichuan-Chongqing Region

  • 摘要: 利用川渝地区34测站1960~2010年共51年逐日降水量资料和同期逐月海表温度(SST)再分析资料,采用点相关、合成分析等现代气候诊断分析方法,研究了川渝地区雨季降水特征及海温背景场特征。结果表明:(1)川渝地区多年平均逐候降水量呈单峰型,川渝地区雨季确定为5~10月。(2)川渝地区雨季降水量时空分布不均,雨季降水量高值中心出现在雅安、乐山一线。(3)点相关分析表明,与川渝地区雨季降水量变化呈显著负相关的关键海区分别是:赤道东太平洋海域、北太平洋、赤道印度洋海域、南印度洋海域、北大西洋海域和赤道东大西洋海域,且通过信度0.1的显著性检验,合成分析的结果与点相关分析相吻合。

     

    Abstract: Using the daily precipitation data and monthly sea surface temperature(SST) reanalysis data of 34 stations from Sichuan- Chongqing region from 1960 to 2010,and adopting modern climate diagnosis methods,such as point relevant and synthetic analysis,I have studied the characteristics of rainy season precipitation and SST background field in this region in this paper. The followings are my studying results. Number One,the average precipitation has been in unimodal distribution for many years and the rainy season is determined from May to October in Sichuan- Chongqing region. Number Two,in terms of time and space,the distribution of rainy season precipitation is uneven in Sichuan- Chongqing region,and the high value center of which is located in the area of Yaan and Leshan. Number Three,as for the variation of rainy season precipitation,the point correlation analysis shows that the following key ocean areas have significant negative correlation with Sichuan-Chongqing region. They are the east equatorial Pacific Ocean area,the north Pacific Ocean area,the equatorial Indian Ocean area,the south Indian Ocean area,the north Atlantic Ocean area and the equatorial east Atlantic Ocean area. The analysis is through the reliability of 0. 1 signicance test,which is also consistent with the synthesis analysis.

     

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