四川省降水相态时空分布及变化特征

The Spatial-temporal Distribution and Change Characteristics of Precipitation-phase in Sichuan

  • 摘要: 利用四川省156个国家级地面观测站1981~2013年的整编观测资料,统计分析了四川省雨、雪与雨夹雪日数的年平均、月平均特征以及雨雪转换情况,并采用线性趋势法、M-K检验来对不同相态降水的时空分布及气候变化特征进行了定量分析。结果表明:(1)四川地区年平均降雪日数和雨夹雪日数呈“西多东少”型分布,年降雨日数则呈“东多西少”的分布特征;(2)盆地中部、南部雨雪转换年平均日数为0.1~2日,盆地西部丘陵一带为3~5日,川西高原雨雪转换日数在10日以上,攀枝花几乎全年无雨雪转换,凉山州呈现西少东多的形势;(3)从线性趋势法、M-K检验及突变都可以看出,四川地区不同降水相态年发生日数总体都在减少。

     

    Abstract: Using the reorganization observed data from 156 national stations during 1981 ~ 2013 in Sichuan Province,statistical analysis the annual mean and monthly mean characteristics of rain day,snow day and sleet day,and the rain- snow transition condition. Using linear- trend method,Mann- Kendall test,quantitative analysis the spatial- temporal distribution and climate change characteristics of precipitation- phase in Sichuan. The results show that:(1) the annual mean snow day and sleet day show the distribution of “west more and east less”,the annual mean rain day show “east more and west less”;(2) the mean rain- snow transition days in the middle and southern of Basin is 0. 1 ~ 2,the days in the Western hills is 3 ~ 5,the days in the west Sichuan highland is more than 10,there is no rain- snow transition in Panzhihua,the days in Liangshan show " west less and east more";(3) from the linear- trend method,Mann- Kendall test,we find that the days of different phase precipitation is decreasing,the Sichuan Province in drying.

     

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