乐山寒潮客观预报及其效果检验分析
Leshan Objective Forecasting System of Cold Wave and Analysis
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摘要: 本文对“基于EC产品的乐山寒潮预报系统”的预报原理进行了介绍;并对2005年10月~2014年4月该预报系统的使用效果、预报准确率和误差进行了详细的分析,对预报工具和集体预报的预报情况进行了对比分析。结果表明,该寒潮预报系统具有较好的可用性和有效性,有利于提高寒潮以及强降温天气过程的预报能力。Abstract: This article introduced the principle of “Leshan forecasting system of cold wave based on EC products";Carried out a detailed analysis on the use effect、forecast accuracy and error in October 2005 to April 2014。Compared with man-prediction and forecasting tools on forecast accuracy. The results show that this forecasting system has good usability and effective-ness, helps to improve forecasting ability of strong cooling process.