泸州2014年初夏一次暴雨的成因分析

Cause Analysis on the Heavy Rainstorm in Luzhou in the Early Summer of 2014

  • 摘要: 利用FY2D卫星、雷达、高空观测及NCEP 1°×1°数据对2014年6月2日20时~4日20时泸州暴雨成因进行分析,结果表明:(1)这次暴雨属于盆地内的非典型暴雨,体现在500hPa影响系统偏弱,副高位置异常偏南,低层风场辐合范围大,对确定暴雨落区有难度。(2)此次降水中出现的两个降水时段与一个中α-MCS的发展、减弱、再发展密切相关,第一阶段中,泸州与南充生成的两个中β尺度MCS合并为一个具有中α尺度的MCS,强烈发展并引起泸州强降水,随后逐渐南移至贵州西北部减弱;第二阶段中,贵州上空的中α尺度MCS再次发展,受其边缘影响,泸州再次出现暴雨天气。(3)从高低空影响系统配置差异看,最显著的特点在于有较强的冷平流,第一阶段冷平流来源于北方气旋后部的西北气流中,并在泸州形成冷暖交汇;第二阶段,冷平流主要来源于中纬度东移低槽,此阶段中冷平流已控制泸州,冷暖交汇区位于贵州西北部,因此冷平流在本次降水中发挥重要作用。

     

    Abstract: Using a variety of observational data to analyze the cause of heavy rain storm of Luzhou, which occurred on 2nd~4th June, 2014. The results show that:(1) compared with the past heavy rainstorms, the circulation situation of the heavy rain storm is atypical and it displays that 500 hPa influencing weather systems are weak, the position of subtropical high is anomaly southward, the range of low-level wind field convergence is large and it's hard to determine the heavy rain zone. (2) The two precipitation periods of the heavy rain occur with development and re-development of a MCS of middle α-scale. At the first stage, two MCSs of middle β-scale in Nanchong and Luzhou respectively merged into one MCS of middle α-scale and developed strongly to arouse heavy rainfall of Luzhou-Chongqin, then gradually moved to the northwest of Guizhou and weakened. At the second stage, the MCS of middle α-scale developed intensely again in Guizhou, Luzhou appeared heavy rain again by its edge influence. (3) Seeing from the configuration of different height weather systems, the most notable feature is that there is a strong cold advection, the cold advection of the first phase came from the northwest flow of the rear of north cyclone and formed the interaction of cold and warm in Luzhou. At the second stage, cold advection mainly came from the mid-latitudes eastward low trough, the cold advection had influenced Luzhou and formed the interaction of cold and warm in northwest of Guizhou. Therefore, cold advection plays an important role in the heavy rainstorm.

     

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