北京市丰台区日照时数变化规律及影响因素分析

Analysis of the Rules of Sunshine Time and its Influence in Fengtai,Beijing

  • 摘要: 本文使用北京市丰台区50年的年日照时数和视障碍现象资料,采用气候突变检测、相关分析等方法分析发现:北京丰台区的日照时数呈现显著减少趋势,趋势递减率为-146.1h/10a、有些年份年日照时数达到了世界气象组织规定的气候异常的标准。而相同时段丰台区的视障碍现象有显著增加,二者呈负相关关系,相关系数为-0.626。分析年日照时数减少的真正原因是城市化带来的影响。将年日照时数的变化与城市化相关联,这在以往的文献中很少述及,本文可为我国未来城市化发展对环境的影响提供借鉴。

     

    Abstract: During the recent 50 years, the average time on site of sunshine duration in Fengtai, Beijing shows a distinct descreasing tendency. The lapse rate is 146. 1 hours per 10 years and it in 2003 even reaches the standard that the United Nations set which called the abnormal weather. At the same time, the visibility restriction in Fengtai increases seriously. Two of them present negative correlation. The related coefficient is- 0. 626, passing the check of which the significance is 0. 001.The time of sunshine and the visibility restriction phenomeno have a link between them. Through the deep analysis, it showed that the real cause of tne sunshine time decreasing is the urbanization.

     

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