近60a铜仁市凝冻气候变化特征及灾害风险区划

Characteristics of Climate Change of the Freezing in Tongren and Disaster Risk Zoning in Recent 60 Years

  • 摘要: 使用铜仁市1951~2010年11月~次年3月10个气象站长序列气象资料和2005~2010年92个区域自动站气温、降水等观测资料,对铜仁市凝冻时空分布和凝冻指数进行分析。结果表明,铜仁市特重级凝冻灾害有6a,其中以2008年最重;铜仁东部凝冻重于西部;铜仁市凝冻指数存在明显突变,突变点在1987年,1986年以前变化较平缓,1987年以后有明显的下降趋势;铜仁市出现区域性凝冻过程占总数的71.7%,其中重级区域性凝冻过程偏多,占26.7%,其次是轻级凝冻过程;铜仁市可划为重级、中级、轻级3个凝冻等级风险区。

     

    Abstract: Based on the long-sequence of observation data from 10 meteorological stations of Tongren in November and March from 1961 to 2008,and the observation data of temperature and precipitation from 92 regional automatic stations of Tongren from 2005 to 2010,the freezing index and spatial-temporal distribution of the freezing are analyed.The result showed that the extra heavy freezing disasters in Tongren happend in 6 years,with the heaviest in 2008.The freezing on the east in Tongren was more serious than the west.The freezing index showed the obvious abrupt changes,with the abrupt change occurred in 1987.While the freezing index flatly changed before it and droped after it.The probability of regional freezing process happening is 71.7 percent in Tongren,with the serious level about 26.7 percent.There are three level freezing process: high,medium and low.

     

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