一次对流性强降雨过程的雷达特征分析

Analysis on Radar Characteristics in a Convective Rain Process

  • 摘要: 采用新一代多普勒雷达探测资料和自动站雨量资料,针对2008年9月22~23日夜间四川省北川附近的强降雨天气过程,基于反射率因子、液态水含量、体扫雨量等资料,对四川盆地内对流性强降雨天气的雷达回波特征进行了深入分析,分析表明,①四川盆地内对流性强降雨天气的强风暴单体具有前倾、低质心、悬垂结构等特征,且引起强降雨的强对流风暴移动缓慢。②低仰角反射率因子强度与雨强有较好对应关系,2.4~6.0度仰角的回波强度越强,降雨强度也就越强,当2.4度仰角的回波强度超过50dbz时,将出现雨强>1mm/分钟的短时强降雨。③四川盆地内产生对流性强降雨的强对流风暴在其生消过程中有一个回波强度质心下移的过程,而当6.0度仰角的回波强度下降迅速时,降雨强度也相应地趋于减弱。④四川盆地内产生对流性强降雨的强对流风暴雷达回波特征有较明显的跃增现象,当低仰角的回波强度增率≥14dbz/体扫,垂直液态水含量增率≥10 kg/m2时,20~30分钟后强降雨产生,可作为短时强降雨预警指标。

     

    Abstract: The characteristics of the radar echo in a heavy rain process in Beichuan, Sichuan during September 22-23 is analyzed by using new generation Doppler radar data and rainfall data from auto-station as well as reflectivity factor, liquid state content and scanned rainfall.The result shows that 1) heavy convective rainstorm cell in Sichuan Basin is of such characteristics as inclining-forward, low centroid and overhanging, in addition, it moves slowly.2) The low-elevation reflectivity factor corresponds well to rainfall, in other words, the stronger the echo in elevation from 2.4 to 6.0 degree, the heavier the rainfall.If the echo at elevation 2.4 degree is bigger than 50dbz, the rainfall intensity will be more than 1mm/s.3) the heavy convective rainstorm cell in Sichuan Basin lowers its centroid while it fades away.When the intensity of echo at elevation 6.0 degree decreases sharply, the rain reduces correspondingly.4) The jumping increase of the echo intensity is another feature of heavy convective rainstorm in Sichuan Basin.When the increase rate of the echo intensity at low elevation is over 14dbz/body-scan with the increase rate of liquid water in air column more than 10kg/m2, the heavy rain is most likely to take place in 20-30 minute, which is an practicable pre-warning index in short time rainstorm prediction.

     

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