双流县春季气候变化特征分析

Characteristic Analysis on Climate Change in Spring in Shuangliu County

  • 摘要: 利用四川省双流县1965~2008年春季降水、温度资料,分析双流县44年的春季气候变化特征。结果表明:①双流县3~5月降水的变化有1.52年、6.96年、18.36年的主要时间尺度;双流县3~5月温度的变化有10.56年时间尺度。②双流县春季降水的突变发生在20世纪80年代中期,自此以后降水逐渐由多变少;温度的突变发生在20世纪90年代中期,自此以后温度逐渐由偏低变为偏高;降水的突变早于温度的突变。③根据春季降水量和温度的主要时间尺度,估计近期春季降水量可能偏少;近期春季温度总体趋势可能偏高。

     

    Abstract: Using spring precipitation and temperature data from 1965 to 2008 in Shuangliu County, Sichuan Province, the characteristics of climate change of spring in 44 years are analyzed.The results indicate:i) From March to May in Shuangliu County, the mainly time dimension of precipitation change are 1.52a, 6.96a and 18.36a, the time dimension of temperature change is 10.56a.ii) The abruption change of precipitation in spring in Shuangliu County occurred in the middle of 1980s'.the trend is getting less.The abruption change of temperature occurred in the middle of 1990s', the trend is getting higher.The change of precipitation is earlier than that of temperature.iii) According to the mainly time dimension of the precipitation and temperature in spring, it can be indicated that in recent years and future, the precipitation is less than before, the temperature is higher than before.

     

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