基于GPS可降水资料的一次连续性暴雨过程的分析

Analysis on a Durative Heavy Rainfall in Southwest Based on GPS Data of Precipitation

  • 摘要: 利用2008年9月22~26日GPS可降水量资料(GPS PWV)对成都地区一次持续性暴雨过程做分析。结果表明,当PWV由谷底缓慢上升或由峰顶缓慢下降时,对应着实际降水的开始和结束。PWV上升的急剧程度与实际降水强度有着较好的对应关系。用每小时变量或3小时变量来分析降水的开始时间、强度和落区等有很好的效果。但是降水预报需要全面考虑大气动力条件和热力条件,并结合多种探测信息提出利用GPS产品进行降水预报的若干指标。

     

    Abstract: Based on the GPS precipitation data, from Sep 22-26, 2008, the durative heavy rain fall in Chengdu is analyzed.The results show that when the PWV rises up from the bottom or drops down from the summit, corresponding with the rain starting or ending.The acuteness of risen up corresponds with the actual precipitation intensity.Using PWV 1-hour change data or 3-hour change data, it analyzes the rainfall starting, intensity and location well.But the rainfall forecasting should consider dynamical and thermodynamics conditions, it also need to combine with several exploration information to give the rainfall forecasting guideline with GPS products.

     

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