近11年大巴山区夜雨时空分布特征

Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Nocturnal Rainfall in the Daba Mountains over the Past 11 Years

  • 摘要: 基于2013—2023年地面观测数据,统计分析了大巴山地区夜雨率时空分布及演变特征。结果表明:夜雨率在空间分布上呈现由西南向东北逐渐减少的特征,且降水峰值时间也沿该方向逐渐推迟;春季夜雨现象最为明显,平均夜雨率超过60%,而冬季夜雨率则相对偏低;降水集中时段及小时平均降水最大值出现时间随季节呈向后推移的变化趋势,其中,春季最早,冬季最晚;夜雨频次在秋季最高,夜雨强度在夏季最强;近11年大巴山夜雨率呈上升趋势,增幅达0.3%/a;夏季后半夜降水比例的增加是夜雨率上升的主要原因;此外,随着季节的变化,后半夜降水比例逐渐减少,而上午降水比例则逐渐增加。

     

    Abstract: Based on surface observation data from 2013 to 2023, the spatiotemporal distribution and evolution characteristics of nocturnal rainfall frequency in the Daba Mountains are statistically analyzed. The results show that: Spatially, the nocturnal rainfall frequency gradually decreased from southwest to northeast, with precipitation peak times progressively delayed along the direction. Nocturnal rainfall is most pronounced in spring, with an average frequency exceeding 60%, while relatively lower in winter. The concentrated precipitation periods and timing of maximum hourly precipitation shift later with seasonal progression, being earliest in spring and latest in winter. Nocturnal rainfall events occur most frequently in autumn, while rainfall intensity peak in summer. Over the past 11 years, the nocturnal rainfall frequency in Daba Mountains has shown an increasing trend at a rate of 0.3%/year. The increase in post-midnight precipitation proportion during summer is the main contributor to the rising nocturnal rainfall frequency. Additionally, with seasonal changes, the proportion of post-midnight precipitation gradually decrease while morning precipitation proportion increase.

     

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