宜宾市一次区域性暴雨天气过程分析

Analysis of a Regional Rainstorm Weather Process in Yibin City

  • 摘要: 利用常规高空和地面观测资料,结合卫星和雷达探测资料,对2022年6月22日宜宾市出现的区域性暴雨天气过程进行分析。结果表明:此次过程是受高空低槽东移和低空切变线影响,在动力不稳定和地形强迫抬升的共同作用下,形成的短时强降雨、雷暴等强对流天气,前半段为本地暖湿热对流,后半段转为稳定性降水;过程期间低空西南急流沿副高外围北上保障了低层水汽输送通道的通畅,加之前期大气温度较高造成大气层结不稳定,为北方冷空气与本地暖湿气流相互交汇触发暴雨提供了有利条件;此次过程中,高空垂直风切变较小,系统移动缓慢,持续时间较长,主系统位置偏西偏北,增加了预报难度。

     

    Abstract: Using conventional upper-air and surface observation data, along with satellite and radar detection data, the regional heavy rain weather event that occurred in Yibin City on June 22, 2022 is analyzed. The results indicate that the event was caused by the eastward movement of an upper-level trough and a low-level shear line. Under the combined effects of dynamic instability and topographic forced uplift, short-duration heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and other severe convective weather were formed. The first half of the event was local warm and moist convection, while the latter half transitioned into stable precipitation. During the event, the low-level southwestern jet stream moved northward along the periphery of the subtropical high, ensuring unobstructed water vapor transport in the lower atmosphere. Additionally, the initially high atmospheric temperature contributed to atmospheric instability, providing favorable conditions for the interaction between cold air from the north and local warm, moist air, which triggered the heavy rainfall. Furthermore, the weak upper-level vertical wind shear, slow system movement, prolonged duration, and the westward and northward shift of the main system increased the difficulty of forecasting the event.

     

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