CLDAS降水资料在四川气候评价业务的应用分析

Application of CLDAS Precipitation Data in Climate Evaluation Operations in Sichuan Province

  • 摘要: 选取2008—2022年中国气象局陆面数据同化系统(CLDAS)逐日降水资料、欧洲中心第五代再分析降水资料(ERA5)和四川省156个国家气象站观测降水资料,利用误差分析、TS评分等方法,评估CLDAS降水资料在四川省的适用性,并探讨其在气候评价业务中应用的可行性。结果表明:CLDAS逐日降水资料的平均值误差和平均绝对误差小,小雨和中雨以上量级TS评分可达0.6~0.8,大雨和暴雨TS评分略有下降,日、月和年的气候平均值均与观测值有较好的一致性,相比而言全面优于ERA5再分析资料。此外,CLDAS降水资料还能更精细化地反映出四川省降水空间分布特征,在一定程度上弥补观测站点稀疏的问题,且通过相关标准的制定,即可达到业务产品的自动化和规范化要求,从而提高气候决策服务效率。

     

    Abstract: The daily precipitation data of China Meteorological Administration Land Surface Data Assimilation System (CLDAS) , the fifth generation ECMWF reanalysis precipitation data (ERA5), and the observed precipitation data of 156 national meteorological stations in Sichuan Province from 2008 to 2022 were selected. Using the methods of error analysis, TS score, the applicability of CLDAS precipitation data in Sichuan Province was evaluated, and the feasibility of its operational application in climate evaluation operations was discussed. The results show that the mean and absolute errors of CLDAS precipitation data are small, the TS scores of light and moderate rain can reach 0.6~0.8, and the TS scores of heavy rain and rainstorm decrease slightly. The daily, monthly and annual climatic averages are in good agreement with the observed values, which are better than the ERA5 data. In addition, CLDAS precipitation data can more accurately reflect the spatial distribution characteristics of precipitation in Sichuan Province, to a certain extent, it can make up for the problem of sparse obeservation sations. Moreover, by establishing relevant standards, the CLDAS precipitation data meet the automation and standardization requirements of operational products, thereby improving the efficiency of climate decision-making services.

     

/

返回文章
返回