基于X波段相控阵双偏振雷达的短时强降水分析

Analysis of Short-term Heavy Precipitation Process Based on X-band Phased Array Dual-Polarization Radar

  • 摘要: 选取成都地区X波段相控阵双偏振天气雷达和地面观测资料,在对比分析2021年成都三次短时强降水过程的基础上,应用ZH参量建立了短时强降水事件临近预警指标,初步探究了该指标在短时强降水预报预警方面的可用性。结果表明:(1)三次降水过程都存在明显的低质心回波结构,雨强越大对应融化层上方回波越强,其ZDR强度更大,正值ZDR可达到的高度也越高(接近融化层);(2)强降水前1小时内其上空对应的回波最大值超过47 dBZ,可作为本地短时强降水事件的预警阈值,能在一定程度上提前预报短时强降水的发生,对于成都地区短时强降水的短临预报预警具有指导意义。

     

    Abstract: Using X-band phased array dual-polarization weather radar data and ground observation data, three short-term heavy precipitation processes in Chengdu were analyzed. The ZH parameter was used to establish a short-term heavy precipitation event warning index, and the availability of this index in short-term heavy precipitation forecasting and early warning was preliminarily explored. The results show that: (1) There were obvious low-center-of-mass echo structures in the three precipitation processes, and the greater the rainfall intensity was, the stronger the echo above the melting layer was, the greater the ZDR intensity was, and the higher the positive ZDR could reach (close to the melting layer). (2) The maximum value of the echo above the strong precipitation is more than 47 dBZ within 1 hour before the strong precipitation, which can be used as the early warning threshold of the local short-term heavy precipitation event, and can predict the occurrence of short-term heavy precipitation in advance to a certain extent. It has guiding significance for the short-term and imminent forecast and early warning of short-term heavy precipitation in Chengdu.

     

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