我国西南地区春季典型雹暴观测与数值模拟研究

Observation and Numerical Simulation of Typical Hailstorm in Southwest China

  • 摘要: 为了进一步厘清我国西南地区春季典型雹暴宏微观物理过程及成雹机制,本文选取X波段双偏振天气雷达资料、ADTD闪电定位系统监测资料以及地面降雹观测资料,运用模糊逻辑算法和耦合了NSSL双参方案的WRF-Elec模式,对2018年3月13日一次典型的雹暴单体降雹过程中热动力、微物理和闪电活动特征进行对比分析,并构建了单体雹暴过程各阶段的微物理模型。结果表明:(1)发展和成熟阶段是雹暴过程的关键阶段,霰粒子继续通过液滴与冰晶和雪与液滴的碰撞生成,而雹在“累积带”区域由液滴-低密度霰碰撞形成,并通过液态水的吸积而增大。(2)正地闪发生阶段与上升气流位置、雹含量和地闪的快速增加阶段相对应,反三极性电荷结构是正地闪在此次雹暴过程中占优的重要原因,它主要表现为对流起电机制作用,在云上部感应出一个较弱的负电荷区而生成,持续时间较短。(3)此次雹暴过程中强烈的上升气流对雹胚增长、冰雹形成、反极性结构的形成起主要作用,利用数值模式可以再现雹暴的反极性电荷结构演变特征和闪电活动特征。(4)基于观测结果与数值模拟构建的单体雹暴过程各阶段微物理模型,有利于理解雹暴中热动力过程、微物理过程、反极性电荷结构的形成及其与闪电活动特征的关系,对我国西南复杂地形区域的雹暴预报具有一定的指导意义。

     

    Abstract:
    In order to further clarify the macrophysical process and hail formation mechanism of hailstorm in southwest China, this study uses the X-band dual polarization weather radar data, ADTD lightning positioning system monitoring data and ground hail observation data, combined with fuzzy logic algorithm and coupling WRF-Elec mode of the NSSL double parameter scheme, analyzes the thermal power, microphysics and lightning activity characteristics of the typical hail monomer on March 13, 2018. The results show that: (1) The development and maturity stage is a key stage in hailstorm process. The graupel particles continue to be generated by the collision of liquid drops with ice crystals and snow with liquid drops, while hail is formed by the collisions of liquid drops with low-density graupel in the “accumulation zone”, and increases by the accretion of liquid water. (2) The occurrence stage of positive ground flash corresponds to the rapid increase stage of updraft location, hail content and ground flash. The anti-tripolar charge structure is the main reason for the dominance of positive ground flash in the hailstorm process. The anti-tripolar charge structure is mainly generated by the convective electric mechanism, which induces a weak negative charge region in the upper part of the cloud, and the duration is short. (3) The strong updraft during the hailstorm played a major role in the growth of the hail embryo, hail formation and the formation of the reverse polar structure. The evolution characteristics of the reverse polar charge structure and the lightning activity characteristics of the hailstorm can be reproduced by using the numerical model. (4) The combination of observation results and numerical simulation is conducive to understanding the thermal dynamic process, microphysical process, the formation of reverse polar charge structure and its relationship with lightning activity characteristics in hailstorm, which has certain guiding significance for the hailstorms prediction in the complex terrain areas of southwest China.

     

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