贵州区域低温阴雨气候特征分析

Analysis on the Characteristics of Cold and Rainy Weather in Guizhou

  • 摘要: 基于贵州省1971—2020年气象观测资料中最高气温、最低气温、降水量、相对湿度及日照时数等要素,根据低温阴雨判别标准,对近50 a发生在贵州省的区域低温阴雨天气过程进行统计,利用EOF、小波分析等方法,研究其时空演变特征及成因。结果表明:近50 a,区域低温阴雨天气过程主要发生在贵州西北部,频数由西向东递减,同时自中部一线向南北两侧递减,平均影响范围占全省面积的53.8%;该天气过程具有明显的3 a、4 a和10 a周期变化特征,年平均发生次数为5次,平均持续时间为7 d,最长持续时间为51 d,持续10 d以下的区域低温阴雨过程多发,占比72.6%,区域低温阴雨过程开始日期和结束日期的年代际变化均不显著;区域低温阴雨过程发生异常年与北半球500 hPa高度场、风场关系显著,其中南起地中海北至波罗的海、东起爱尔兰岛西至黑海的西欧、俄罗斯大部、五大湖向中大西洋海岭延伸的北半球广大地区位势高度异常偏高(低),对应同期贵州区域低温阴雨日数显著偏多(少)。

     

    Abstract: Based on the meteorological observation data of maximum temperature, minimum temperature, precipitation, ralative humidity and sunshine hours in Guizhou Province from 1971 to 2020, according to the discrimination method of low temperature and rainy weather, the regional low temperature and rainy weather processes in Guizhou in the past 50 years were statistically analyzed. The spatial and temporal evolution caharcateristics and causes were analyzed by EOF and wavelet analysis. The results show that in the past 50 years, the regional low-temperature and rainy weather processes mainly occurred in the northwest of Guizhou Province, and the frequency decreased from the west to east, and decreased from the central line to the north and south sides, with the average influence area accounting for 53.8% of the whole province. In terms of time, it had obvious cycle change characteristics of 3a, 4a and 10a. The annual average occurrence times of low temperature and overcast rain processes in Guizhou region were 5, the average duration was 7d, and the longest duration was 51 days. The regional low temperature and overcast rain processes lasting less than 10 days were frequent, accounting for 72.6%. There was no obvious interdecadal difference in the beginning and end dates of the processes. The abnormal years of regional low temperature and overcast rain had a significant relationship with the 500 hPa height field and wind field in Northern Hemisphere. Among them, the geopotential height was abnormally high ( low ) in the vast area of the northern hemisphere extending from the Mediterranean Sea to the Baltic Sea in the south, from Ireland to the Black Sea in the east, most of Russia, and the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic Ridge, and the number of low temperature and rainy days in Guizhou was significantly more ( less ).

     

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