昆仑山北部夏季降水多尺度时空变化特征

Multi-scale Temporal and Spatial Variation Characteristics of Summer Precipitation in Northern Kunlun Mountains

  • 摘要: 选用昆仑山北部2016—2020年6—8月14个国家气象站、240个加密区域自动气象站逐小时降水资料,针对“季-月-日-时”时间尺度,以沿海拔高度梯次下降划分的高山区、中山区、低山区和平原区为空间尺度,分析昆仑山北部夏季降水多尺度时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)近5 a昆仑山北部夏季平均降水358.5 mm,小时降水和小时强降水频次分别为301次和74次;日降水极值95.4 mm出现在低山区,小时降水极值64.0 mm出现在平原区。(2)夏季和6—8月逐月降水、平均日降水和小时降水、小时降水频次5个要素特征量均呈“南多北少”的空间分布特征,均随海拔梯次下降而减少;最大小时降水则为反相分布,随海拔梯次下降而增多,小时强降水更易出现在海拔较低的低山区和平原区。(3)夏季降水日变化特征显著,中午至前半夜小时降水的大值中心随时间逐渐偏向低海拔区,大值中心由南向北偏移;小时降水的峰值时间和降水增强时段均随海拔梯次降低而后延,4类区域小时降水峰值均在白天出现,其中低山区和平原区峰值发生在午后。低山区和平原区午后强对流天气造成的短时强降水及其引发的中小河流山洪、滑坡、泥石流等地质灾害是防范重点。

     

    Abstract: Based on the hourly precipitation data of 14 national weather stations and 240 encrypted regional automatic weather stations in the north part of Kunlun Mountains from June to August in 2016—2020, the multi-scale temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of summer precipitation in northern Kunlun Mountains are analyzed on the "Quarter-Month-Day-Hour" time scale, with the high mountain area, middle mountain area, low mountain area and plain area divide by the decending altitude ladder. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) In the past 5 years, the average summer precipitation in northern Kunlun Mountains was 358.5 mm, and the frequency of hourly precipitation and hourly heavy precipitation was 301 and 74 respectively. The daily precipitation extreme value of 95.4 mm appeared in the low mountain area, and the hourly precipitation extreme value of 64.0 mm appeared in the plain area. (2) In summer and from June to August, the monthly precipitation, average daily precipitation and hourly precipitation, and hourly precipitation frequency all show the spatial distribution characteristics of "more in the south and less in the north", which decreases with the decrease in altitude. The maximum hourly precipitation is inversely distributed and increases with the decrease of the altitude ladder. The hourly heavy rainfall is more likely to occur in the low-altitude low mountain and plain areas. (3) The diurnal variation characteristics of summer precipitation are significant. The large-value center of hourly precipitation from noon to the first half of the night gradually shifts to low-altitude areas with time, showing a pattern of shifting from south to north. The peak time of hourly precipitaion and the precipitation enhancement period both increase and then extend with the decrease of altitude ladder. The hourly precipitation peaks in the 4 types of regions occur during the day, and the peak value in the low mountain and plain areas mainly occur in the afternoon. It is necessary to pay attention to the short-term heavy rainfall caused by strong convective weather in the low mountain and plain areas in the afternoon, and focus on preventing the occurrence of geological disasters such as flash floods in small and medium-sized rivers, landslides and debris flows caused by short-term heavy rainfall.

     

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