基于熵值法的四川省综合气候舒适度订正

Revision of Comprehensive Climate Comfort in Sichuan Province Based on Entropy Method

  • 摘要: 基于近50 a四川省33个国家地面气象站的逐日观测资料,利用熵值法、距离法和百分位法,针对不同台站的海拔差异,对四川省气候舒适度进行了有效订正,并建立了气候舒适度指数在不同季节的预报模型。结果表明:(1)从未订正的综合气候舒适度指数看,除川西高原部分地区外,春、秋季四川省均为较舒适或舒适;除盆地东部部分地区外,夏季四川省由于天气凉爽,气候舒适度较好;冬季四川省气候普遍偏冷,大部分地区较不舒适;春、秋和冬季舒适地区多集中在四川盆地。(2)海拔高度对气候舒适度影响较大,海拔订正后的综合气候舒适度指数总体呈由高原山地向盆地逐渐增大的分布特征,即人体感觉由高海拔到低海拔变得逐渐舒适,达州万源市为四川省春、夏、秋季人体体感最舒适地区。(3)不同季节气候舒适度的影响因素存在显著差异,必须对应选取适宜的物理因子构建预报模型。

     

    Abstract: Based on the daily meteorological data from 33 national terrestrial meteorological observation stations in Sichuan Province in recent 50 years, according to the altitude difference of different stations, the climate comfort in Sichuan Province was effectively corrected by using entropy method, distance method and percentile method, and the prediction model of climate comfort index in different seasons was established. The results show that: (1) From the point of view of the uncorrected comprehensive climate comfort index, except for some areas of the western Sichuan Plateau, Sichuan Province is more comfortable or comfortable in spring and autumn. In addition to the eastern part of the Basin, Sichuan Province has a good climate comfort in summer due to the cool weather. In winter, the climate in Sichuan Province is generally cold, and most areas are not comfortable. The comfortable areas in spring, autumn and winter are mostly concentrated in the Sichuan Basin. (2) Altitude has a great influence on climate comfort. The comprehensive climate comfort index after altitude correction generally increases from plateau mountains to basins, that is, the human body feels gradually comfortable from high altitude to low altitude. Wanyuan, Dazhou is the most comfortable area for human body in spring, summer and autumn in Sichuan Province. (3) There are significant differences in the influencing factors of climate comfort in different seasons, and appropriate physical factors must be selected to construct the prediction model.

     

/

返回文章
返回