基于GIS的渠江流域暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估与区划

Risk Assessment of Rainstorm and Flood Disasters in Qujiang River Basin Based on GIS

  • 摘要: 基于自然灾害风险四因子理论,选取1970~2021年渠江流域内16个气象观测站逐日降水资料,结合当地的基础地理信息和社会经济数据,构建由12个指标组成的渠江流域暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估体系,利用GIS技术对其进行定量评估与区划。结果表明:(1)渠江流域北部暴雨强度大、频次高,危险性总体呈“北高南低”的特征。(2)渠江流域南部地势低洼、河网密布、人口密集、经济发达,暴露性和脆弱性总体呈“南高北低”的特征。(3)南江、巴中北部、平昌西北部、渠县、广安、大竹和邻水西侧暴雨洪涝灾害综合风险最高,不同地区高风险的主导因素存在差异。

     

    Abstract: Based on the four-factor theory of natural disaster risk, the daily precipitation data of 16 meteorological observation stations in the Qujiang River Basin from 1970 to 2021 were selected. combined with the local basicgeographic information and social economy, a risk assessment system of rainstorm and flood disaster in the Qujiang River Basin composed of 12 indicators was constructed, and GIS technology was used to quantitatively evaluate and divide it. The results show that: (1) The intensity and frequency of rainstorm in the north of Qujiang River Basin are high, and the risk is generally high in the north and low in the south. (2) The southern region is characterized by low-lying terrain, dense river network, dense population and developed economy, and the overall characteristics of exposure and vulnerability are high in the south and low in the north. (3) The comprehensive risk of rainstorm and flood disasters in Nanjiang, northern Bazhong, northwest Pingchang, Quxian, Guang'an, Dazhu and the west of Linshui is the highest, and the leading factors of high risk are different in different regions.

     

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