一种基于气温日极小值的观测环境影响判别与评估方法

A Method for Identification and Assessment of Environment Errors Based on Daily Minimum Air Temperature

  • 摘要: 在人口稠密地区维持气象观测环境稳定十分困难,长序列气温数据中混杂着大量由探测环境条件变化引起的误差,影响了观测数据的应用价值,探索在数据采集和使用环节消减这类误差的方法十分必要。本文立足于观测站实际情况,研发了一种从最低气温数据中提取混杂的环境误差信息的方法,并对其适用性进行检验评估。结果表明:该方法识别出的观测环境变化与实际场景充分吻合,多数受影响的数据段可以在“季平均”尺度上得到有效识别,环境变化引起的误差量也可以被定量评估。

     

    Abstract: It is very difficult to maintain a stable meteorological observation environment for long time in densely populated areas. Long sequence air temperature data is mixed with a large number of errors caused by the changes of environmental conditions, which affects the application value of observation data. Therefore, it is necessary to find methods to reduce such errors. Based on the actual situation of the observation station, the method of extracting mixed environmental error information from the daily minimum temperature data is developed, and its applicability is evaluated. The results show that the observed environmental changes identified by the method in this paper are fully consistent with the actual scene, most of the affected data segments can be effectively identified on the "seasonal average" scale, and the amount of error caused by environmental changes can also be quantitatively evaluated.

     

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