四川盆地西-南部沿山短时强降水环境特征对比分析

Comparative Analysis of Ambient Field Characteristics of Short-term Hard Rain along the Mountains in the South and West of Sichuan Basin

  • 摘要: 利用实况监测、再分析资料和模式分析场资料,分析了盆地西-南部强降水发展特征、天气配置、环境要素、对流触发机制等。结果表明:盆地西-南部强降水有三个发生源地,分别为峨眉山东坡沿山地区、四川盆地南部山区和盆地西北部沿龙门山脉。盆地西-南部的强降水生消发展主要表现为两种分布形势,一是发展型强降水,二是未发展型强降水。在中低层为强降水提供的能量和水汽条件相似情况下,500 hPa的影响系统是决定盆地西-南部强降水天气过程发展与否的关键因素。在中低层不显著的环流差异下,850 hPa风速的微弱变化是造成对流是否维持更长时间的关键,850 hPa风速越大越有利于对流进一步发展形成发展型强降水。影响盆地西-南部强降水发生发展的环境要素中,水汽因子尤为重要。首先,环境水汽含量不仅是深厚湿对流发生的水汽条件,亦在不稳定能量条件中扮演重要角色;其次,充沛的盆地水汽含量足以引发强降水出现,但水汽含量差异是对流性降水发展升尺度的关键因素;最后,水汽含量的差异导致了强降水发展趋势,反过来强降水发展也影响水汽含量阈值,两者相互反馈。盆地西-南部强降水对流触发配置模型可分为低压扰动型和地形辐合型,小尺度冷池、地形辐合和地面辐合线在其触发条件中尤为重要。

     

    Abstract: Using observational data, NCEP FNL analysis data and numerical model analysis data, the development characteristics, weather system conditions, ambient field factors and convection trigger of heavy rainfall in the south and west of Sichuan Basin are analyzed. The results show that there are three source regions of heavy rainfall in the west area of Sichuan Basin, which are the east slope of E’Mei Mountain, the south mountain region of Sichuan Basin and the Longmen Mountain in northwest of Sichuan Basin. The generation, development and extinction of heavy rainfall in the south and west of Sichuan Basin mainly present as developed type and undeveloped type. The weather system at 500 hPa level is the key factor to lead the development of heavy rainfall weather process in the south and west of the Basin under the same background in middle and low level of energy and moisture vapor field. Under the condition of insignificant circulation difference, the weak change of wind speed at 850 hPa level causes great difference on rainfall’s development. The bigger the wind speed at 850 hPa is, the better development of the heavy rainfall will be. In the analysis of ambient field, the most prominent factor is the water vapor. The content of ambient water vapor is not only the water vapor condition of deep wet convection, but also plays an important role in the unstable energy condition. Although the water vapor content in the Basin is abundant enough to trigger heavy precipitation process, the difference of water vapor content is still the key factor for the development of convective precipitation to upgrade status. The difference of water vapor content leads to the development trend of heavy rainfall. In turn, the development of heavy rainfall also affects the water vapor content threshold, and the two feed back to each other. In the analysis of heavy rainfall triggering conditions in the south and west of the Basin, attention should be paid to small-scale cold pool, topographic convergence and ground convergence lines. Moreover, the triggering configuration model of heavy rainfall convection in the south and west of the Basin is formed as low-pressure disturbance type and topographic convergence type.

     

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