2021年达州“8.8”区域性特大暴雨成因分析

Cause Analysis of a Regional Extraordinary Rainstorm in Dazhou on August 8, 2021

  • 摘要: 利用常规气象观测、自动站雨量、多普勒天气雷达等资料,对2021年8月8日达州区域性特大暴雨成因进行了分析。结果表明:(1)高空槽与深厚的低涡系统耦合,为此次特大暴雨提供了强有力的动力条件;西南急流为强降水提供了充足的水汽和能量;边界层回流冷空气与地面辐合线为强对流的发生提供了触发机制。(2)对流回波强、移速缓慢、位置较稳定及列车效应是造成特大暴雨的直接原因;逆风区对强降水有明显增幅作用,其位置及出现时间与强降水落区及时段对应较好;低空偏南风急流和低层径向速度辐合为强降水发生提供了水汽和动力条件。(3)盛夏高VIL值对极端强降水具有较好的提示作用。

     

    Abstract: Based on data of conventional meteorological observation, automatic station precipitation and Doppler weather radar, the causes of the regional extraordinary rainstorm on August 8, 2021 in Dazhou are analyzed. The results show that: (1) The coupling of upper trough and deep vortex system provided strong dynamic conditions for the extraordinary rainstorm; the southwest jet stream provided sufficient water vapor and energy for heavy precipitation; the backflow cold air of the boundary layer and the ground convergence line provided a triggering mechanism for the occurrence of strong convection. (2) Strong convective echo, slow moving speed, stable position and the train effect were the direct causes of the extraordinary rainstorm; the upwind area had a significant increase effect on the heavy precipitation, and its location and occurrence time corresponded well with the rainfall area and time interval of heavy precipitation; the southerly jet stream at low level and radial velocity convergence at low level provided water vapor and dynamic conditions for heavy precipitation. (3) High VIL value in midsummer had a good indication action on the extraordinary rainstorm.

     

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