Abstract:
To reveal the trend of extreme precipitation in Guangyuan of Sichuang,base on the hourly and daily precipitation data during 1961~2015 to analysis the characteristics changing tendency of the diurnal variation of precipitation,hourly precipitation intensity, short-period heavy precipitation, and select the four extreme precipitation indices recommended by the World Meteorological Organization to study the extreme precipitation events in Guangyuan.The results indicate that:The interannual variability of total precipitation in Guangyuan is not obvious,but hourly precipitation is getting more and more extreme.The hourly precipitation shows an increasing trend from02:00am to06:00am,and diurnal variation of trend magnitudes of precipitation in Cangci and Qingchuan is single peak-valley pattern, and Wangcang, Guangyuan and Jiange is one valley between two peaks pattern, the frequency of short-period heavy precipitation in most area of Guangyuan is increase yearly, and the interdecadal change in the 1980s has an obvious increase especially in Wangcang which increases71%,the maximum hourly and daily precipitation in Guangyuan are increasing.The trend magnitudes of very heavy precipitation days(R25mm),simple daily intensity index(SDII) and very wet day precipitation(R95) is 0.0558d·a
-1, 0.0168mm·d
-1·a
-1 and 0.5998mm·a
-1,respectively, while consecutive wet days(CWD) decreased by-0.0202d·a
-1 during 1961~2015 in Guangyuan, which the number of continuous precipitation days is decreasing per year,while the precipitation is getting more and more extreme.