贵州威宁春种马铃薯高产优质的气候资源优势分析

Advantage Aualysis of Chinate Resource to Potatos Planting in Weining

  • 摘要: 为了获得贵州马铃薯种植生产的最佳气候指标,做好马铃薯产业的气象服务,达到降低不利气候条件对马铃薯生产造成影响的目的,本文选取了1986~2009年威宁春种秋收马铃薯鲜薯产量资料,以及威宁气象站的降水量、日照时数、平均气温等气象资料用于分析。采用积分回归分析、相关分析、一元非线性回归分析等统计分析方法,研究了“中国南方马铃薯之乡”贵州威宁春种马铃薯生育期内的光、温、水等气象对当地马铃薯产量形成的动态影响,得出了以下结论:气温对马铃薯产量的影响以负效应为主,贵州威宁马铃薯生长的热量资源十分充足,且威宁的高温日数少;马铃薯生长的光资源好,日照时数的变化趋势与马铃薯生长对光照的需求非常一致;马铃薯生长的大部分时段降水丰富有利于产量的增加。

     

    Abstract: In order to gain the best climate index for potatos planting,provide the best meteorological service,and reduce the affection of disadvantageous weather conditions on potatos production,it chooses some data of the potatos yield in Weining and from 1986~2009 meteorological data including precipitation,sunlight time and tempreture from weining meteorological station.By using the statistical analysis methods such as integral regression analysis,relationship analysis and nonlinear analysis,it researches the dynamic effect of meteorological condition such as sunlight,tempreture and precipitation during the potato growing stage on potato yield,the conclutions are following :the tempreture has negative impact on potato yields,the thermal resource is very abundant in Weining county,and there is lack of high tempreture day the sunlight resource is also very good to potato,the trend of sunshine hours meet the potato growing demands for light;the abundant precipitation is conductive to increase the potato yields.

     

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