基于小时雨量的泥石流滑坡降雨特征分析

Feature Analysis of Precipitation with Flow and Landslide Based on Hour-rainfall

  • 摘要: 利用2007~2010年6~9月四川加密自动气象站雨量监测资料,分析了小时雨量特征,并结合其间的泥石流、滑坡地质灾害个例,对泥石流、滑坡发生时的降雨特点进行了分析。结果表明,1500m以下小时平均雨强较大时段出现在1~7时,1500m以上小时雨强较大时段出现在夜间10时至次日8时,短历时强降雨是诱发泥石流的关键因素,而滑坡的发生受降水的累计和滞后效应影响。海拔1500m以下,发生泥石流、滑坡一般需要50mm的降水,1500~3500m海拔,6小时降水有15~20mm,就有可能引发泥石流、滑坡,而在3500m以上,6小时降水有10~15mm即可。

     

    Abstract: Using the rainfall data in encrypted automatic weather stations from June to September, 2007-2010 in Sichuan province, the hour-rainfall characteristics is analysed, and by combining with the occurrence of flows or landslides which happened at the same time, the characteristics of precipitation is analysed.The results show that:The hour-average heavy rainfall mainly occurred during 1 a.m.to 7 a.m.when its geopotential height is below 1500 meters, else other happened during 10 p.m.to 8 a.m.the next day when its geopotential height is above 1500 meters, short-duration heavy rainfall is a key factor induced flows, and the occurrence of landslides is impacted by the cumulative and lagged effects of precipitation.The occurrence of flows or landslides generally require 50mm of rainfall when its geopotential height is below 1500 meters, and 6-hour precipitation has 15-20mm may lead to debris flows or landslides happen when its geopotential height is between 1500-3500 meters, and 6-hour precipitation has 10-15mm can when its geopotential height is above 3500 meters.

     

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